Experts Predict 100-1500 New TLDs by 2011-2012
Panel predicts number and timing of new TLDs.
Last Friday I had the opportunity to moderate a panel on new top level domain names during Domainer Mardi Gras in New Orleans. Michael Ward did a great job assembling a panel of people from all sides of the new top level domain spectrum:
Mike Rodenbaugh – attorney
Michael Berkens – domainer
Jeffrey Eckhaus – Demand Media
Ken Hansen -Neustar
John Berryhill – attorney
There were certainly some disagreements amongst that group, especially when it came to trademarks, registry/registrar separation, and the point of new TLDs.
I asked each panelist how many unique new TLDs will be applied for in the first round. By “unique”, I mean that if 5 people apply for .money, that’s one unique TLD.
The results were widespread, with 100 on the low end and 1500 on the high end. Four of the five panelists predicted 400 or fewer applications.
How soon can we expect new TLDs? The earliest guess for when a new TLD will be available to the general public was April 2011; the latest was September 2012.