Most people think low five figures.
We’re starting to get an idea of how many registrations new top level domain names can expect to get in the short term now that dozens have launched.
This year’s Domain Name Wire survey asked “On average, how many second level registrations do you expect each new TLD to have one year after general availability for the domain starts?”
The median response to this question was 12,000 and the average was 41,054.
The average is higher due to a handful of really high responses.
Neither of these numbers seems that far off base. Many domains will be measured in the tens of thousands, some will be in just the thousands, and we’ll probably have some that eclipse the 100k mark.
As of right now, the top new top level domain name is .club with over 60,000 registrations. 8 new domain names have more than 20,000 registrations and about 20 top the 10,000 mark.